{"id":9510,"date":"2026-10-30T10:31:39","date_gmt":"2026-10-30T09:31:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/meteo-sain-bel.fr\/wp\/blog\/le-30-octobre-2026-a-9h31-apres-les-pluies-doctobre-une-nouvelle-menace-se-dessine-dans-le-sud\/"},"modified":"2026-10-30T10:31:39","modified_gmt":"2026-10-30T09:31:39","slug":"le-30-octobre-2026-a-9h31-apres-les-pluies-doctobre-une-nouvelle-menace-se-dessine-dans-le-sud","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/meteo-sain-bel.fr\/wp\/blog\/le-30-octobre-2026-a-9h31-apres-les-pluies-doctobre-une-nouvelle-menace-se-dessine-dans-le-sud\/","title":{"rendered":"le 30 octobre 2026 \u00e0 9h31  Apr\u00e8s les pluies d&#8217;octobre, une nouvelle menace se dessine dans le Sud"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>M\u00e9t\u00e9o\u00a0 Republi\u00e9 via Innoreader <a href=\"https:\/\/www.meteo-paris.com\/actualites\/debut-novembre-le-sud-a-nouveau-menace-par-les-fortes-pluies\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"feedzy-rss-link-icon\">Lire la Suite<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/www.meteo-paris.com\/uploads\/actu\/carte_meteo_compressee_225ko.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Apr\u00e8s les \u00e9pisodes de pluies torrentielles qui ont touch\u00e9 le sud de la France en octobre, une nouvelle d\u00e9gradation pourrait se mettre en place d\u00e8s le milieu de la semaine prochaine. Une goutte froide circulant pr\u00e8s de la M\u00e9diterran\u00e9e pourrait favoriser des pr\u00e9cipitations parfois abondantes, notamment entre les Pyr\u00e9n\u00e9es et le Sud-Est. L&#8217;intensit\u00e9 et la localisation de cet \u00e9pisode restent toutefois tr\u00e8s incertaines.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>Une goutte froide pourrait provoquer de nouvelles fortes pluies dans le Sud<\/h2>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Depuis maintenant plusieurs mois, l&#8217;installation des hautes pressions se montre particuli\u00e8rement r\u00e9currente sur l&#8217;ouest du continent europ\u00e9en, notamment entre la France et les \u00eeles britanniques. Cette situation apporte un temps anormalement calme et sec depuis le d\u00e9but de l&#8217;automne sur la majorit\u00e9 du pays, except\u00e9 sur le sud-est o\u00f9 plusieurs \u00e9pisodes pluvio-orageux notables se sont succ\u00e9d\u00e9s entre la fin du mois de septembre et le mois d&#8217;octobre.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Cette r\u00e9currence ne semble pas vouloir nous quitter en ce d\u00e9but novembre 2026. En effet, apr\u00e8s une semaine du 19 au 25 octobre plus perturb\u00e9e, les hautes pressions ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 largement repris le dessus sur la France et une large partie du continent europ\u00e9en en cette fin octobre. Si ces hautes pressions s&#8217;\u00e9tendaient ces derniers jours de l&#8217;Atlantique \u00e0 la Russie en passant par la France, celles-ci vont s&#8217;ancrer \u00e0 partir du week-end entre les \u00eeles britanniques et la mer du Nord, comme ce fut le cas \u00e0 de nombreuses reprises ces derni\u00e8res semaines.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Dans le m\u00eame temps, une goutte froide se d\u00e9croche de la circulation atmosph\u00e9rique principale et circulera sous ces hautes pressions dans les prochains jours, prenant la direction de l&#8217;Italie d&#8217;ici la fin du week-end puis se dirigeant vers la p\u00e9ninsule ib\u00e9rique en premi\u00e8re partie de semaine prochaine.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/www.meteo-paris.com\/uploads\/actu\/carte_meteo_HD_mobile_moins_225Ko.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Evolution de la situation sur l&#8217;Europe entre dimanche 1er et mardi 3 novembre 2026<\/strong><\/em> &#8211; Mod\u00e8le ECMWF via WX CHARTS<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Ainsi, si un temps calme et sec est de nouveau attendu sur la majorit\u00e9 de la France pour le d\u00e9but du mois de novembre, la situation pourra de nouveau devenir plus humide et instable sur le sud du pays dans le courant de la semaine prochaine avec un flux d&#8217;est \u00e0 sud-est se renfor\u00e7ant pr\u00e8s de la M\u00e9diterran\u00e9e au fil des jours.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>Un nouveau risque de fortes pr\u00e9cipitations sur le sud-est<\/h2>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Ce flux d&#8217;est \u00e0 sud-est engendrera la remont\u00e9e d&#8217;air tr\u00e8s humide et instable vers le sud-est du pays, une situation qui favorisera le d\u00e9clenchement de fortes pr\u00e9cipitations orageuses sur ces r\u00e9gions \u00e0 partir du milieu de semaine.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/www.meteo-paris.com\/uploads\/actu\/situation%204%20novembre.png\" \/><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Situation envisag\u00e9e pour le mercredi 4 novembre 2026 sur l&#8217;Europe<\/strong><\/em> &#8211; Mod\u00e8le ECMWF via WX CHARTS<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Pour le moment, les r\u00e9gions bordant la M\u00e9diterran\u00e9e et les Pyr\u00e9n\u00e9es semblent les plus soumises \u00e0 ce risque de fortes pluies avec des cumuls potentiellement importants attendus d&#8217;ici la fin de semaine prochaine sur ces secteurs. Le reste du pays resterait plus \u00e0 l&#8217;\u00e9cart, notamment les r\u00e9gions du Nord car celles-ci resteront situ\u00e9es trop proches du centre de l&#8217;anticyclone.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/www.meteo-paris.com\/uploads\/actu\/cumuls%2030%20ocotbre%208%20novembre%20gfs.png\" \/><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Cumuls de pr\u00e9cipitations envisag\u00e9s sur la France d&#8217;ici le 8 novembre 2026 <\/strong><\/em>&#8211; Mod\u00e8le GFS via WX CHARTS<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Il conviendra toutefois d&#8217;affiner les pr\u00e9visions dans les prochains jours concernant ce risque de fortes pr\u00e9cipitations sur le sud-est du pays. En effet, la trajectoire exacte de la goutte froide et l&#8217;\u00e9volution g\u00e9n\u00e9rale de la situation pour la seconde partie de semaine prochaine, or, ces param\u00e8tres seront d\u00e9terminants pour envisager les r\u00e9gions les plus touch\u00e9es et les cumuls totaux pr\u00e9vus. Pour le moment, les sc\u00e9narios divergent encore fortement sur ces points.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/www.meteo-paris.com\/uploads\/actu\/carte_precipitations_HD_mobile_225ko.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Diff\u00e9rents sc\u00e9narios de cumuls de pluie d&#8217;ici le 8 novembre 2026 sur la France <\/strong><\/em>&#8211; Via WX CHARTS<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Dans tous les cas, si le reste du pays conservera un temps plus sec et calme sous l&#8217;influence des hautes pressions la semaine prochaine, un nouveau risque d&#8217;\u00e9pisode pluvio-orageux potentiellement notable est pr\u00e9sent sur le sud-est du pays, une situation tr\u00e8s similaire \u00e0 ce que nous avons pu conna\u00eetre ces derni\u00e8res semaines.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00c0 lire \u00e9galement <\/strong>:<\/p>\n<p>&gt;&gt;&gt;\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.meteo-paris.com\/actualites\/el-nino-la-guyane-en-premiere-ligne-d-autres-catastrophes-a-redouter\">El Ni\u00f1o : pr\u00e8s de 40 \u00b0C et un plan d&#8217;urgence en Guyane\u2026 et d&#8217;autres menaces \u00e0 venir<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&gt;&gt;&gt;\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.meteo-paris.com\/actualites\/l-atlantique-se-refroidit-au-sud-du-groenland-de-nouvelles-etudes-alertent\">L&#8217;Atlantique se refroidit au sud du Groenland : de nouvelles \u00e9tudes alertent<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&gt;&gt;&gt;\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.meteo-paris.com\/actualites\/debut-novembre-le-froid-pourrait-etre-bien-plus-tenace-que-prevu\">D\u00e9but novembre : pourquoi le froid pourrait s&#8217;installer plus longtemps que pr\u00e9vu<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&gt;&gt;&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.meteo-villes.com\/france\/previsions-saisonnieres\">Nos tendances saisonni\u00e8res<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&gt;&gt;&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.meteo-paris.com\/chronique\">Notre chronique sur les \u00e9v\u00e8nements climatiques en France, depuis 1850<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&gt;&gt;&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.meteo-villes.com\/france\/previsions\">Notre bulletin m\u00e9t\u00e9o r\u00e9actualis\u00e9 quotidiennement<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&gt;&gt;&gt; <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Meteovilles\">Notre compte Twitter tr\u00e8s suivi et r\u00e9f\u00e9rence dans tous les m\u00e9dias !<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Auteur : <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BergenTristan\">Tristan Bergen<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>M\u00e9t\u00e9o\u00a0 Republi\u00e9 via Innoreader Lire la Suite Apr\u00e8s les \u00e9pisodes de pluies torrentielles qui ont touch\u00e9 le sud de la France en octobre, une nouvelle [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9511,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9510","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-externes"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>le 30 octobre 2026 \u00e0 9h31 Apr\u00e8s les pluies d&#039;octobre, une nouvelle menace se dessine dans le Sud - Meteo Sain-Bel<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/meteo-sain-bel.fr\/wp\/blog\/le-30-octobre-2026-a-9h31-apres-les-pluies-doctobre-une-nouvelle-menace-se-dessine-dans-le-sud\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta 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