{"id":9193,"date":"2026-09-24T18:57:10","date_gmt":"2026-09-24T16:57:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/meteo-sain-bel.fr\/wp\/blog\/le-24-septembre-2026-a-16h57-la-pluie-pourrait-revenir-la-semaine-prochaine-mais-certaines-regions-resteraient-au-sec\/"},"modified":"2026-09-24T18:57:10","modified_gmt":"2026-09-24T16:57:10","slug":"le-24-septembre-2026-a-16h57-la-pluie-pourrait-revenir-la-semaine-prochaine-mais-certaines-regions-resteraient-au-sec","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/meteo-sain-bel.fr\/wp\/blog\/le-24-septembre-2026-a-16h57-la-pluie-pourrait-revenir-la-semaine-prochaine-mais-certaines-regions-resteraient-au-sec\/","title":{"rendered":"le 24 septembre 2026 \u00e0 16h57 La pluie pourrait revenir la semaine prochaine, mais certaines r\u00e9gions resteraient au sec"},"content":{"rendered":"

M\u00e9t\u00e9o\u00a0 Republi\u00e9 via Innoreader Lire la Suite<\/a><\/p>\n

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Un puissant anticyclone maintient une m\u00e9t\u00e9o s\u00e8che et estivale en France. Toutefois, ce dernier devrait s’\u00e9loigner progressivement \u00e0 la fin septembre et au d\u00e9but du mois d’octobre. Peut-on enfin esp\u00e9rer une am\u00e9lioration pluvieuse ?<\/p>\n

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Retour de la pluie la semaine prochaine : quelles r\u00e9gions resteront au sec ?<\/h2>\n

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Tr\u00e8s calme ces derni\u00e8res semaines, l’oc\u00e9an commencer \u00e0 se r\u00e9veiller. Tandis qu’un blocage anticyclonique maintient des conditions tr\u00e8s s\u00e8ches, ensoleill\u00e9es et anormalement chaudes sur la p\u00e9ninsule ib\u00e9rique et la France, la donne commence \u00e0 \u00e9voluer sur le nord de l’Atlantique.<\/p>\n

D\u00e9j\u00e0 ce mercredi 23 septembre 2026, nous avons assist\u00e9 \u00e0 une puissante cyclogen\u00e8se sur le nord de l’oc\u00e9an, \u00e0 quelques milliers de kilom\u00e8tres au large de l’Irlande. Comme le montre l’image satellite ci-dessous, la d\u00e9pression pr\u00e9sentait un magnifique enroulement nuageux, t\u00e9moignant d’un creusement rapide.<\/p>\n

Cette d\u00e9pression est descendue sous la barre des 960 hPa ce matin du jeudi 24 septembre 2026 en remontant au sud de l’Irlande. Le pays subit une m\u00e9t\u00e9o agit\u00e9e avec des pluies copieuses et des vents tr\u00e8s forts. Trop \u00e9loign\u00e9e, cette d\u00e9pression favorise plut\u00f4t un nouvel afflux d’air chaud sur la France.<\/p>\n

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Image satellite montrant une puissante d\u00e9pression sur l’Atlantique le mercredi 23 septembre 2026 <\/strong><\/em>– windy.com<\/p>\n

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Les mod\u00e9lisations montrent que l’activit\u00e9 d\u00e9pressionnaire est v\u00e9ritablement en train de se r\u00e9veiller sur le nord de l’Atlantique o\u00f9 des conditions perturb\u00e9es vont r\u00e9gner durant les prochains jours. Une coul\u00e9e d’air froid plongeant sur l’oc\u00e9an devrait engendrer une nouvelle cyclogen\u00e8se importante en d\u00e9but de semaine prochaine.<\/p>\n

Les mod\u00e8les s’attendent \u00e0 un profond creusement d\u00e9pressionnaire s’initiant au nord des A\u00e7ores le lundi 28 septembre 2026. La d\u00e9pression pourrait se creuser tr\u00e8s rapidement pour passer en dessous de 960 hPa \u00e0 l’ouest de l’Irlande lors des deux derniers jours de ce mois de septembre.<\/p>\n

L’Irlande pourrait subir sa premi\u00e8re v\u00e9ritable temp\u00eate de la saison. La France sera plus \u00e9loign\u00e9e de la d\u00e9pression mais son influence s’\u00e9tendra suffisamment pour venir d\u00e9stabiliser la masse d’air sur les r\u00e9gions de l’ouest et du sud, moins \u00e0 l’est o\u00f9 l’anticyclone continental conservera son influence.<\/p>\n

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Anomalie de g\u00e9opotentiels pour le mercredi 30 septembre 2026 <\/strong><\/em>– wxcharts.com<\/p>\n

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Retour de la pluie pour le passage \u00e0 octobre ?<\/h2>\n

Sous l’influence de cette d\u00e9pression tr\u00e8s creuse sur l’Atlantique, des passages pluvieux devraient de nouveau circuler en France au cours des derniers jours du mois de septembre, apr\u00e8s une semaine particuli\u00e8rement s\u00e8che et digne du c\u0153ur de la saison estivale.<\/p>\n

Durant les lundi 28, mardi 29 et mercredi 30 septembre, des nuages d\u00e9borderont sur la France. Ils seront plus nombreux sur la moiti\u00e9 ouest et vers le golfe du Lion o\u00f9 des passages pluvieux plus ou moins d\u00e9sorganis\u00e9s pourront se produire, prenant parfois un caract\u00e8re orageux.<\/p>\n

Comme nous resterons assez \u00e9loign\u00e9s de la d\u00e9pression, il n’est pas pr\u00e9vu de front pluvieux organis\u00e9 et les pluies seront souvent passag\u00e8res. Ainsi, les cumuls ne s’annoncent pas tr\u00e8s importants. De plus, les r\u00e9gions de l’est resteront prot\u00e9g\u00e9es par les hautes pressions avec le maintien du temps sec.<\/p>\n

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Situation m\u00e9t\u00e9o et pr\u00e9cipitations pour le mercredi 30 septembre 2026<\/strong><\/em> – wxcharts.com<\/p>\n

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Ainsi, nous devrions petit \u00e0 petit sortir de la r\u00e9currence anticyclonique et excessivement s\u00e8che. Les mod\u00e9lisations pour les deux prochaines semaines montrent des signaux humides sur l’ouest et le sud de la France, plus marqu\u00e9s sur les r\u00e9gions m\u00e9diterran\u00e9ennes o\u00f9 des \u00e9pisodes pluvio-orageux semblent possibles.<\/p>\n

En revanche, les pluies devraient demeurer plus discr\u00e8tes en allant vers le nord-est de la France car un puissant anticyclone devrait se maintenir sur la Scandinavie et l’ouest de la Russie, continuant de prot\u00e9ger une bonne partie de l’Europe continentale.<\/p>\n

Quoiqu’il en soit, cette am\u00e9lioration pluvieuse devrait \u00eatre tr\u00e8s progressive et reste \u00e0 confirmer car il existe aussi des sc\u00e9narios plus secs jusqu’en premi\u00e8re d\u00e9cade du mois d’octobre. Il conviendra de suivre l’\u00e9volution des pr\u00e9visions au cours des prochains jours.<\/p>\n

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Anomalies pluviom\u00e9triques du 28 septembre au 4 octobre et du 5 au 11 octobre 2026<\/strong><\/em> – ECMWF<\/p>\n

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\u00c0 lire \u00e9galement <\/strong>:<\/p>\n

>>>\u00a0Depuis le printemps, quelque chose d\u2019inhabituel se passe vraiment en France<\/a><\/p>\n

>>>\u00a0Equinoxe d\u2019automne : pourquoi l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 va encore jouer les prolongations en France<\/a><\/p>\n

>>>\u00a0S\u00e9cheresse : en 1976, la pluie \u00e9tait revenue \u00e0 l\u2019automne\u2026 et cette ann\u00e9e ?<\/a><\/p>\n

>>> Notre chronique sur les \u00e9v\u00e8nements climatiques en France, depuis 1850<\/a><\/p>\n

>>> Notre bulletin m\u00e9t\u00e9o r\u00e9actualis\u00e9 quotidiennement<\/a><\/p>\n

>>> Notre compte Twitter tr\u00e8s suivi et r\u00e9f\u00e9rence dans tous les m\u00e9dias !<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Auteur : Alexandre Slowik<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

M\u00e9t\u00e9o\u00a0 Republi\u00e9 via Innoreader Lire la Suite Un puissant anticyclone maintient une m\u00e9t\u00e9o s\u00e8che et estivale en France. Toutefois, ce dernier devrait s’\u00e9loigner progressivement \u00e0 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9194,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9193","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-externes"],"yoast_head":"\nle 24 septembre 2026 \u00e0 16h57 La pluie pourrait revenir la semaine prochaine, mais certaines r\u00e9gions resteraient au sec - Meteo Sain-Bel<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/meteo-sain-bel.fr\/wp\/blog\/le-24-septembre-2026-a-16h57-la-pluie-pourrait-revenir-la-semaine-prochaine-mais-certaines-regions-resteraient-au-sec\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"le 24 septembre 2026 \u00e0 16h57 La pluie pourrait revenir la semaine prochaine, mais certaines r\u00e9gions resteraient au sec - Meteo Sain-Bel\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"M\u00e9t\u00e9o\u00a0 Republi\u00e9 via Innoreader Lire la Suite Un puissant anticyclone maintient une m\u00e9t\u00e9o s\u00e8che et estivale en France. 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