{"id":9052,"date":"2026-09-07T18:37:32","date_gmt":"2026-09-07T16:37:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/meteo-sain-bel.fr\/wp\/blog\/le-7-septembre-2026-a-16h37-coup-de-vent-mardi-des-rafales-a-plus-de-100-km-h-possibles-en-france\/"},"modified":"2026-09-07T18:37:32","modified_gmt":"2026-09-07T16:37:32","slug":"le-7-septembre-2026-a-16h37-coup-de-vent-mardi-des-rafales-a-plus-de-100-km-h-possibles-en-france","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/meteo-sain-bel.fr\/wp\/blog\/le-7-septembre-2026-a-16h37-coup-de-vent-mardi-des-rafales-a-plus-de-100-km-h-possibles-en-france\/","title":{"rendered":"le 7 septembre 2026 \u00e0 16h37 Coup de vent mardi : des rafales \u00e0 plus de 100 km\/h possibles en France"},"content":{"rendered":"

M\u00e9t\u00e9o\u00a0 Republi\u00e9 via Innoreader Lire la Suite<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/h1>\n

Une petite d\u00e9pression va traverser la France mardi : fortes rafales et brusque arriv\u00e9e de l\u2019air frais<\/h1>\n

Le changement de temps sera particuli\u00e8rement brutal entre mardi 8 septembre et la nuit de mardi \u00e0 mercredi. Apr\u00e8s la chaleur exceptionnelle de ces derniers jours, de l\u2019air beaucoup plus frais va d\u00e9bouler depuis l\u2019Atlantique et les \u00eeles Britanniques. Sa confrontation avec l\u2019air encore tr\u00e8s chaud remontant d\u2019Afrique du Nord va favoriser la formation d\u2019un talweg et d\u2019une petite d\u00e9pression qui traversera rapidement le nord de la France.<\/p>\n

M\u00eame si cette d\u00e9pression restera de dimensions modestes, son \u00e9volution devra \u00eatre surveill\u00e9e de pr\u00e8s. Son creusement pourrait \u00eatre suffisamment rapide pour engendrer un v\u00e9ritable coup de vent sur plusieurs r\u00e9gions<\/strong>, avec localement des rafales approchant ou d\u00e9passant les 100 km\/h<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Un contraste de temp\u00e9ratures particuli\u00e8rement marqu\u00e9<\/h2>\n

La France se retrouvera mardi au c\u0153ur d\u2019un important conflit de masses d\u2019air. \u00c0 l\u2019arri\u00e8re du front, de l\u2019air nettement plus frais descendra des \u00eeles Britanniques et gagnera rapidement l\u2019ouest du pays. Dans le m\u00eame temps, une masse d\u2019air tr\u00e8s chaude r\u00e9sistera encore sur une partie du centre, du sud et surtout de l\u2019est de la France.<\/p>\n

\u00c0 environ 1 500 m\u00e8tres d\u2019altitude, l\u2019\u00e9cart de temp\u00e9rature entre les deux masses d\u2019air sera spectaculaire. Ce contraste contribuera \u00e0 accentuer le dynamisme du front froid qui progressera rapidement d\u2019ouest en est.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

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Mardi apr\u00e8s-midi, de l\u2019air tr\u00e8s frais en provenance des \u00eeles Britanniques progressera rapidement vers la France tandis que l\u2019air chaud r\u00e9sistera encore sur l\u2019est et le sud du pays. Mod\u00e8le ECMWF.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Ce changement sera accompagn\u00e9 d\u2019un passage pluvieux, notamment de la Bretagne vers la Normandie puis les Hauts-de-France. Derri\u00e8re le front, les temp\u00e9ratures chuteront rapidement et l\u2019ambiance prendra un caract\u00e8re beaucoup plus automnal.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/h2>\n

Une petite d\u00e9pression de la Bretagne au Nord-Pas-de-Calais<\/h2>\n

Le ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne le plus d\u00e9licat \u00e0 pr\u00e9voir concernera toutefois la petite d\u00e9pression associ\u00e9e \u00e0 ce front. Les derni\u00e8res simulations la font arriver sur la pointe de la Bretagne en fin de matin\u00e9e de mardi<\/strong>, avec une pression centrale voisine de 1006 hPa.<\/p>\n

Elle circulerait ensuite tr\u00e8s rapidement vers le nord-est, longeant les c\u00f4tes de la Manche, avant de traverser ou fr\u00f4ler la Normandie puis de gagner le Nord-Pas-de-Calais dans la soir\u00e9e.<\/p>\n

Cette trajectoire est importante car les vents les plus forts se produiront \u00e0 proximit\u00e9 imm\u00e9diate du centre d\u00e9pressionnaire et surtout sur son flanc sud.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

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Trajectoire envisag\u00e9e de la petite d\u00e9pression mardi : pointe bretonne en fin de matin\u00e9e, Normandie dans l\u2019apr\u00e8s-midi puis Nord-Pas-de-Calais en d\u00e9but de soir\u00e9e. Mod\u00e8le AROME.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Le creusement de cette d\u00e9pression pourrait \u00eatre favoris\u00e9 par la dynamique pr\u00e9sente en altitude. Un courant-jet assez puissant circulera \u00e0 proximit\u00e9, ce qui peut contribuer \u00e0 renforcer rapidement une petite d\u00e9pression lorsqu\u2019elle se trouve dans une zone favorable.<\/p>\n

C\u2019est pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment ce m\u00e9canisme qui rend la situation encore relativement sensible aux ajustements de derni\u00e8re minute.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Plus de 100 km\/h possibles sur l\u2019ouest<\/h2>\n

La premi\u00e8re zone \u00e0 surveiller sera la Bretagne, notamment le Finist\u00e8re et plus g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement les secteurs expos\u00e9s du littoral.<\/p>\n

Les mod\u00e8les envisagent fr\u00e9quemment des rafales de 90 \u00e0 100 km\/h<\/strong>, avec des pointes pouvant atteindre ou d\u00e9passer 110 km\/h tr\u00e8s localement<\/strong>, notamment sur les caps et secteurs les plus expos\u00e9s. Dans les terres, les valeurs devraient g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement \u00eatre moins importantes, mais des rafales de 70 \u00e0 90 km\/h restent possibles selon la trajectoire exacte de la d\u00e9pression.<\/p>\n

Le vent gagnera ensuite la Normandie puis, dans une moindre mesure, les Hauts-de-France au fil de l\u2019apr\u00e8s-midi et de la soir\u00e9e.<\/p>\n

Il ne s\u2019agira pas n\u00e9cessairement d\u2019une temp\u00eate g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9e \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle du pays, mais plut\u00f4t d\u2019un coup de vent potentiellement marqu\u00e9 et assez bref<\/strong>, dont l\u2019intensit\u00e9 d\u00e9pendra beaucoup du creusement r\u00e9el de cette petite d\u00e9pression.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/h2>\n

Un deuxi\u00e8me risque de fortes rafales dans l\u2019Est<\/h2>\n

En soir\u00e9e, le front froid continuera de s\u2019enfoncer vers le centre et l\u2019est de la France. C\u2019est alors qu\u2019un second ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne pourrait devenir pr\u00e9occupant.<\/p>\n

En arrivant au contact de l\u2019air tr\u00e8s chaud encore pr\u00e9sent \u00e0 l\u2019avant, le front devrait prendre un caract\u00e8re de plus en plus orageux<\/strong>, particuli\u00e8rement entre le nord de la vall\u00e9e du Rh\u00f4ne, le Dauphin\u00e9, les Alpes du Nord, le Jura et la Franche-Comt\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Les orages pourraient s\u2019organiser en ligne et \u00eatre accompagn\u00e9s de puissantes rafales descendantes.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Dans la soir\u00e9e de mardi et la nuit suivante, les orages pourraient provoquer des rafales d\u00e9passant localement 100 km\/h entre le Dauphin\u00e9, les Alpes du Nord, le Jura et la Franche-Comt\u00e9. Mod\u00e8le AROME.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Les simulations les plus muscl\u00e9es envisagent localement plus de 100 km\/h<\/strong>, voire autour de 110 km\/h<\/strong> entre le nord de l\u2019Is\u00e8re et certains secteurs proches du Jura. Sous les cellules orageuses, ces rafales peuvent \u00eatre tr\u00e8s localis\u00e9es et varier fortement sur quelques kilom\u00e8tres seulement.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Une situation \u00e0 surveiller jusqu\u2019au dernier moment<\/h2>\n

La journ\u00e9e de mardi marquera donc une transition particuli\u00e8rement nette entre la chaleur remarquable des derniers jours et une ambiance nettement plus fra\u00eeche.<\/p>\n

Deux secteurs concentreront l\u2019attention : la Bretagne et les r\u00e9gions proches de la Manche durant la journ\u00e9e<\/strong>, puis un axe allant du Dauphin\u00e9 \u00e0 la Franche-Comt\u00e9 dans la soir\u00e9e et la nuit suivante<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

L\u2019intensit\u00e9 exacte du vent d\u00e9pendra toutefois de d\u00e9tails qui peuvent encore \u00e9voluer : profondeur de la d\u00e9pression, trajectoire pr\u00e9cise de son centre et organisation des orages dans l\u2019Est.<\/p>\n

Une modification de quelques dizaines de kilom\u00e8tres de la trajectoire pourrait sensiblement d\u00e9placer la zone de rafales maximales. Cette situation n\u00e9cessitera donc un suivi attentif des prochaines actualisations des mod\u00e8les et des vigilances officielles.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Auteur : Guillaume S\u00e9chet >>>\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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[…]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9053,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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