{"id":3485,"date":"2025-06-09T16:25:22","date_gmt":"2025-06-09T14:25:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/meteo-sain-bel.fr\/wp\/blog\/on-9-juin-2025-at-14h25-orages-parfois-virulents-des-le-milieu-de-semaine\/"},"modified":"2025-06-09T16:25:22","modified_gmt":"2025-06-09T14:25:22","slug":"on-9-juin-2025-at-14h25-orages-parfois-virulents-des-le-milieu-de-semaine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/meteo-sain-bel.fr\/wp\/blog\/on-9-juin-2025-at-14h25-orages-parfois-virulents-des-le-milieu-de-semaine\/","title":{"rendered":"on 9 juin 2025 at 14h25 Orages parfois virulents d\u00e8s le milieu de semaine\u00a0?"},"content":{"rendered":"

M\u00e9t\u00e9o\u00a0 Republi\u00e9 via Innoreader Read More<\/a><\/p>\n

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Une courte p\u00e9riode anticyclonique avant le retour de l’instabilit\u00e9<\/h2>\n

L’anticyclone des A\u00e7ores s’\u00e9tend de nouveau vers la France en ce lundi de Pentec\u00f4te, apportant le retour d’un temps calme et sec sur la totalit\u00e9 du pays apr\u00e8s une semaine pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente assez humide et orageuse.<\/p>\n

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Image satellite de l’Europe en ce lundi 9 juin 2025<\/strong><\/em> \u2013 EUMETSAT<\/p>\n

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N\u00e9anmoins, ce temps calme, anticyclonique et de plus en plus chaud ne va pas se montrer durable. En effet, une goutte froide \u00e9voluant actuellement au large du Maroc et du Portugal va peu \u00e0 peu se creuser avant d’\u00eatre reprise par le flux oc\u00e9anique puis de stagner aux portes de l’Europe de l’ouest jusqu’au week-end, influen\u00e7ant sensiblement la France avec l’arriv\u00e9e d’air plus oc\u00e9anique en altitude sur l’ouest du pays.<\/p>\n

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\u00c9volution des anomalies de g\u00e9opotentiels du 9 au 14 juin 2025 <\/strong><\/em>\u2013 Mod\u00e8le GFS via WX CHARTS<\/p>\n

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L’arriv\u00e9e de cet air plus oc\u00e9anique en altitude sur l’ouest de la France alors que de l’air tr\u00e8s chaud et estival persistera plus \u00e0 l’est devrait ainsi de nouveau d\u00e9stabiliser la masse d’air et accentuer le risque d’orage d\u00e8s le milieu de semaine et ce au moins jusqu’au week-end avec plusieurs salves orageuses concernant notamment l’ouest et le nord du pays.<\/p>\n

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Animation des cumuls de pr\u00e9cipitations en 24h du 9 au 15 juin 2025 <\/strong><\/em>\u2013 Mod\u00e8le GFS via WX CHARTS<\/p>\n

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Encore quelques incertitudes<\/h2>\n

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C’est notamment \u00e0 partir de mercredi que le risque orageux devrait s’accentuer sur l’ouest de la France. Apr\u00e8s une tr\u00e8s chaude journ\u00e9e, les orages devraient en effet se multiplier en soir\u00e9e et nuit avec la remont\u00e9e d’un for\u00e7age depuis l’Espagne, se multipliant du c\u00f4t\u00e9 de la Nouvelle-Aquitaine avant de remonter vers la Bretagne la nuit suivante en adoptant des intensit\u00e9s parfois virulentes (fortes pluies, gr\u00eale, rafales et activit\u00e9 \u00e9lectrique puissantes).<\/p>\n

Ce risque orageux devrait ensuite se propager plus vers le nord et l’est le lendemain avec l\u00e0 aussi des intensit\u00e9s parfois fortes, bien que des incertitudes persistent en raison d’une n\u00e9bulosit\u00e9 parfois importante suite aux orages de la nuit pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente, ce qui pourrait diminuer sensiblement l’instabilit\u00e9 de la masse d’air.<\/p>\n

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Cartes du risque d’orages sur la France entre le 11 et le 12 juin 2025 <\/strong><\/em>\u2013 M\u00e9t\u00e9o-Villes<\/p>\n

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Si la journ\u00e9e de vendredi devrait se montrer plus stable et chaude sur de nombreuses r\u00e9gions, la masse d’air devrait de nouveau devenir bien plus instable d\u00e8s la fin de journ\u00e9e et la nuit suivante sur l’ouest du pays avant que le risque orageux ne se propage de nouveau plus \u00e0 l’est\u00a0pour le week-end. N\u00e9anmoins de nombreuses incertitudes persistent sur l’ampleur et la localisation exacte des orages.<\/p>\n

En effet, les principaux mod\u00e8les de pr\u00e9visions ne sont pas en accord sur l’\u00e9volution de la situation entre cette fin de semaine et le d\u00e9but de semaine prochaine. Certains sc\u00e9narios envisagent en effet l’isolement d’une goutte froide sur la France, ce qui engendrerait une tr\u00e8s forte instabilit\u00e9 sur la majorit\u00e9 du pays tandis que d’autres voient plut\u00f4t une intrusion plus progressive de l’air oc\u00e9anique par le nord-ouest, ce qui engendrerait la formation d’un front orageux balayant le pays d’ouest en est et le retour d’un temps plus calme et rafra\u00eechi d\u00e8s le d\u00e9but de semaine suivante.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>\u00a0\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Diff\u00e9rents sc\u00e9narios du mod\u00e8le am\u00e9ricain GFS pour la fin de semaine du 9 au 15 juin 2025<\/strong><\/em> \u2013 via WX CHARTS<\/p>\n

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Il conviendra donc d’affiner les pr\u00e9visions pour la fin de semaine. Si l’instabilit\u00e9 devrait persister avec des ph\u00e9nom\u00e8nes localement virulents, son ampleur et sa localisation exacte restent \u00e0 confirmer d’ici l\u00e0, tout comme l’\u00e9volution du temps pour la semaine suivante.<\/p>\n

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\"\"\"\"<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

M\u00e9t\u00e9o\u00a0 Republi\u00e9 via Innoreader Read More \u00a0 Une courte p\u00e9riode anticyclonique avant le retour de l’instabilit\u00e9 L’anticyclone des A\u00e7ores s’\u00e9tend de nouveau vers la France […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3486,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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